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Прозорците се припокриват, затова наблюденията не са независими. Минали резултати не гарантират бъдещи." }, "projection": { "mu": 10.336400032043457, "hist_cagr": 18.75281193994658, "equilibrium": 7.894000053405762, "history_weight": 0.4, "method": "bootstrap", "flag": null, "tax": 10.0, "inflation": 2.5, "lump_fan": [ { "y": 0, "p10": 1.0, "p25": 1.0, "p50": 1.0, "p75": 1.0, "p90": 1.0 }, { "y": 1, "p10": 0.9386703257830051, "p25": 1.030549368189014, "p50": 1.1252943719562738, "p75": 1.2059645227524192, "p90": 1.2835075451646876 }, { "y": 2, "p10": 0.9363740527805169, "p25": 1.095464468277599, "p50": 1.2377553186083445, "p75": 1.392064258695355, "p90": 1.5339785258234793 }, { "y": 3, "p10": 0.9594585973889732, "p25": 1.162350419796379, "p50": 1.3762207382492486, "p75": 1.5931673984447492, "p90": 1.7962841467532542 }, { "y": 4, "p10": 0.9907079364329846, "p25": 1.2447169653482657, "p50": 1.5165721635649394, "p75": 1.8070395570664002, "p90": 2.0782938758614686 }, { "y": 5, "p10": 1.0473178895345674, "p25": 1.3179184206347108, "p50": 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127.87, 133.63, 132.78, 132.48, 142.1, 145.78, 149.77, 165.93, 165.0, 158.5, 157.67, 149.15, 159.61, 154.46, 144.8, 143.14, 148.24, 159.62, 148.21, 151.96, 151.85, 146.95, 149.13, 148.1, 152.98, 150.42, 159.62, 161.66, 158.31, 153.15, 150.75, 146.85, 142.52, 138.41, 135.94, 147.48, 151.8, 160.55, 151.93, 163.96, 165.37, 163.15, 159.53, 163.18, 161.09, 153.42, 164.73, 168.9, 171.07, 168.64, 169.4, 184.09, 189.59, 192.66, 192.4, 202.73, 206.97, 217.5, 226.85, 219.77, 216.67, 231.37, 235.59, 257.84, 271.83, 271.68, 272.78, 271.11, 284.63, 318.09, 329.41, 347.1, 368.62, 398.17, 432.89, 385.05, 379.11, 373.26, 329.65, 332.47, 365.9, 340.8, 318.37, 333.32 ] } }, "currency": "USD", "note": "Всички серии са с общо възвръщане, превърнати във валутата на листинга. Периодът е общият ≤ 10 г." }, "ucits": { "alternatives": [], "mapped": false, "notes": [ "Американските ETF-и (SPY, VOO, QQQ…) обикновено не могат да се купуват от дребни инвеститори в ЕС заради регулацията PRIIPs/KID – за ЕС се ползват UCITS аналози (ISIN започва с IE/LU).", "Ирландските UCITS ETF-и обикновено удържат по-малко данък върху US дивиденти от директно US фондове; натрупващите (Acc) версии не изплащат дивидент. Проверете условията при вашия брокер и данъчно третиране в България – не е данъчен съвет." ] }, "verdict": { "scores": { "cost": 75.0, "diversification": 64.74409455, "risk_adjusted": 95.41929922873203, "resilience": 69.58847235839986, "size_liquidity": 80.68832557154406, "track_record": 100.0 }, "weights": { "cost": 25, "diversification": 20, "risk_adjusted": 20, "resilience": 15, "size_liquidity": 10, "track_record": 10 }, "total": 79.28978216666079, "label": "ПОДХОДЯЩ КАТО ДЪЛГОСРОЧНО ЯДРО", "tone": "g", "strengths": [ "Sharpe 0.75, максимален спад -35%" ], "weaknesses": [ "Годишна такса (TER) 0.30% – висока за индексен фонд; над 30 г. изяжда значителна част от печалбата", "Топ 10 позиции = 47% от фонда – концентрация" ], "timing_state": "Неутрална зона", "timing": [ "Няма екстремно отклонение от тренда – DCA е напълно подходящ." ], "entry_plan": [ { "drawdown": 0, "share": 50, "price": 1635.800048828125, "label": "Сега / месечно DCA" }, { "drawdown": 10, "share": 25, "price": 1620.5399780273438, "label": "При спад −10% от върха" }, { "drawdown": 20, "share": 25, "price": 1440.47998046875, "label": "При спад −20% от върха" } ], "steps": [ "Основна стратегия: месечно DCA в ETF-а (ядро на портфейла); не продавайте при спадове – историческият максимален спад е -35%.", "Допълнителни вноски по нива: 50% от наличния капитал сега/по месеци, 25% при −10% от върха (1620.54), 25% при −20% (1440.48).", "Ребалансирайте веднъж годишно; не го ползвайте като единствена позиция, ако не можете да издържите спад от 35%.", "В 10-годишни исторически прозорци DCA е било по-добро от еднократна вноска в 0% от случаите (lump sum обикновено печели при растящ пазар, DCA намалява риска от лош момент)." ], "answer": "Да – като дългосрочно ядро (хоризонт 10+ години), ако можете да издържите спадове от 35%.", "track_years": 16.150793650793652, "coverage": { "pct": 100, "have": 6, "total": 6, "missing": [], "bad_modules": [] } } }, "composite": 79.28978216666079, "as_of": "2026-11-04T23:12:42.917536Z" }