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Прозорците се припокриват, затова наблюденията не са независими. Минали резултати не гарантират бъдещи." }, "projection": { "mu": 8.999195460719536, "hist_cagr": 10.560988377140635, "equilibrium": 7.958000183105468, "history_weight": 0.4, "method": "bootstrap", "flag": null, "tax": 10.0, "inflation": 2.5, "lump_fan": [ { "y": 0, "p10": 1.0, "p25": 1.0, "p50": 1.0, "p75": 1.0, "p90": 1.0 }, { "y": 1, "p10": 0.7057207100322819, "p25": 1.0170740242847065, "p50": 1.1645042424482592, "p75": 1.2759400895447137, "p90": 1.4034117137194762 }, { "y": 2, "p10": 0.6815093212883935, "p25": 0.9471646920928357, "p50": 1.2915786077160463, "p75": 1.5358153450748566, "p90": 1.7546548209745805 }, { "y": 3, "p10": 0.6504861409539463, "p25": 0.967011207107485, "p50": 1.4178926943623504, "p75": 1.8017461488324207, "p90": 2.1493975014336146 }, { "y": 4, "p10": 0.6247910574670772, "p25": 0.985129857695255, "p50": 1.5103313177513087, "p75": 2.0377893154138915, "p90": 2.5619724525183036 }, { "y": 5, "p10": 0.6451506324380597, "p25": 1.0035971298740871, "p50": 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Разпределението на колебанията е от реалната история (bootstrap)." }, "holdings": { "top": [ { "symbol": "NVDA", "name": "NVIDIA Corp", "weight": 8.32742 }, { "symbol": "AAPL", "name": "Apple Inc", "weight": 7.3533504999999995 }, { "symbol": "MSFT", "name": "Microsoft Corp", "weight": 5.7623 }, { "symbol": "MU", "name": "Micron Technology Inc", "weight": 5.0244797 }, { "symbol": "AMD", "name": "Advanced Micro Devices Inc", "weight": 4.17138 }, { "symbol": "AMZN", "name": "Amazon.com Inc", "weight": 4.06602 }, { "symbol": "META", "name": "Meta Platforms Inc Class A", "weight": 3.2625797999999997 }, { "symbol": "GOOGL", "name": "Alphabet Inc Class A", "weight": 3.0548200000000003 }, { "symbol": "GOOG", "name": "Alphabet Inc Class C", "weight": 2.84936 }, { "symbol": "TSLA", "name": "Tesla Inc", "weight": 2.8200800000000004 } ], "top10_weight": 46.69179, "top1": 8.32742, "sectors": [ [ "technology", 60.330003 ], [ "communication_services", 12.590000000000002 ], [ "consumer_cyclical", 10.07 ], [ "consumer_defensive", 5.56 ], [ "industrials", 5.11 ], [ "healthcare", 3.7900000000000005 ], [ "utilities", 1.01 ], [ "basic_materials", 0.9199999999999999 ], [ "energy", 0.44999999999999996 ], [ "financial_services", 0.19 ] ], "assets": { "cashPosition": 0.0023999999, "stockPosition": 0.9976, "bondPosition": 0.0, "preferredPosition": 0.0, "convertiblePosition": 0.0, "otherPosition": 0.0 } }, "flow": { "gex": { "available": true, "expirations": [ "2026-11-04", "2026-11-05", "2026-11-06", "2026-11-09", "2026-11-10", "2026-11-11" ], "put_wall": 675.0, "call_wall": 725.0, "gamma_flip": null, "total_gex": -2197106621.8781557, "regime": "Отрицателна гама – по-големи движения (хеджирането подсилва тренда)", "put_call_oi": 1.3876411569623441, "put_call_vol": 0.8742558308713274, "atm_iv": 34.0627891180391, "strikes": [ { "strike": 660.0, "net": -78081320.99072827, "call_oi": 208.0, "put_oi": 22688.0 }, { "strike": 665.0, "net": -56772173.455624714, "call_oi": 239.0, "put_oi": 12671.0 }, { "strike": 670.0, "net": -106165346.4414667, "call_oi": 413.0, "put_oi": 18490.0 }, { "strike": 675.0, "net": -415680325.8549257, "call_oi": 643.0, "put_oi": 58504.0 }, { "strike": 676.0, "net": -78531234.09011358, "call_oi": 119.0, "put_oi": 10613.0 }, { "strike": 680.0, "net": -379713801.6842131, "call_oi": 1496.0, "put_oi": 47098.0 }, { "strike": 682.0, "net": -158088112.50196397, "call_oi": 484.0, "put_oi": 15603.0 }, { "strike": 685.0, "net": -199048677.3357618, "call_oi": 6840.0, "put_oi": 24538.0 }, { "strike": 690.0, "net": -101900776.01872773, "call_oi": 8527.0, "put_oi": 20290.0 }, { "strike": 691.0, "net": -150053599.8487205, "call_oi": 1498.0, "put_oi": 18749.0 }, { "strike": 693.0, "net": -140460672.93533817, "call_oi": 4661.0, "put_oi": 21031.0 }, { "strike": 713.0, "net": -193768407.3093368, "call_oi": 9466.0, "put_oi": 53974.0 } ] }, "ats": { "available": true, "weeks": [ { "week": "2026-07-20", "ats_shares": 35575511, "total_volume": 174013400.0, "share": 20.444121544662654 }, { "week": "2026-07-27", "ats_shares": 59134369, "total_volume": 268607700.0, "share": 22.015142901711307 }, { "week": "2026-08-03", "ats_shares": 41532712, "total_volume": 202390200.0, "share": 20.521108235477804 }, { "week": "2026-08-10", "ats_shares": 26487041, "total_volume": 139985600.0, "share": 18.921261186864935 }, { "week": "2026-08-17", "ats_shares": 34099494, "total_volume": 178047300.0, "share": 19.151929852348225 }, { "week": "2026-08-24", "ats_shares": 23079435, "total_volume": 144534000.0, "share": 15.968170119141517 }, { "week": "2026-08-31", "ats_shares": 25472651, "total_volume": 153270400.0, "share": 16.619419666158635 }, { "week": "2026-09-07", "ats_shares": 17501606, "total_volume": 113168300.0, "share": 15.465113463752658 }, { "week": "2026-09-28", "ats_shares": 28476650, "total_volume": 168875500.0, "share": 16.86251113986339 }, { "week": "2026-10-05", "ats_shares": 21391657, "total_volume": 148441500.0, "share": 14.410833223862598 }, { "week": "2026-10-12", "ats_shares": 38012381, "total_volume": 223025300.0, "share": 17.0439770734531 } ], "last_week": "2026-10-12", "last_share": 17.0439770734531, "avg_share": 17.947598946117896, "lag_days": 22, "top_firms": [ { "name": "DLTA DEALERWEB", "shares": 19311403, "notional": 14132953207.6172 }, { "name": "UBSA UBS ATS", "shares": 4005665, "notional": 2919401788.52 }, { "name": "INCR INTELLIGENT CROSS LLC", "shares": 2583854, "notional": 1882330347.08705 }, { "name": "EBXL LEVEL ATS", "shares": 1768870, "notional": 1285586636.5986 }, { "name": "SGMT SIGMA X2", "shares": 1596130, "notional": 1162033403.9848 } ], "note": "FINRA публикува ATS обемите със седмично/месечно закъснение – това е структурен индикатор, не сигнал в реално време. Отделните блокови сделки >$5M (prints) не са свободно достъпни." }, "footprint": { "cmf20": -0.07696243077041345, "ad_slope": -0.07696243077041341, "accumulation_days": 1, "distribution_days": 3, "updown_vol": 0.33576916765384374 }, "signal": { "score": 1, "max": 5, "label": "Слаб/неутрален поток", "reasons": [ "цената е близо до Put Wall" ] } }, "peers": { "table": [ { "symbol": "QQQ", "name": "Този ETF", "cagr5": 13.303536670656623, "cagr10": 19.955292922739567, "vol": 23.045959978410615, "sharpe": 0.36033206129990336, "mdd": -35.11874050993939 }, { "symbol": "SPY", "name": "S&P 500 (САЩ)", "cagr5": 12.115131636878651, "cagr10": 15.238765198905103, "vol": 17.114439399218828, "sharpe": 0.42461274253946824, "mdd": -33.71726551549342 }, { "symbol": "VT", "name": "Цял свят (акции)", "cagr5": 9.915264673404266, "cagr10": 12.277775858438723, "vol": 16.199248505490786, "sharpe": 0.31455374685516246, "mdd": -34.2362104632077 }, { "symbol": "VGK", "name": "Европа", "cagr5": 8.405201985263599, "cagr10": 9.813042271189376, "vol": 17.904004224274175, "sharpe": 0.19680473574168153, "mdd": -37.23563089609071 }, { "symbol": "AGG", "name": "Облигации САЩ", "cagr5": -0.21529079956880137, "cagr10": 1.358387670317729, "vol": 6.1418671435246885, "sharpe": -0.8531097438913164, "mdd": -18.43292946856101 }, { "symbol": "GLD", "name": "Злато", "cagr5": 16.50251324841907, "cagr10": 11.472789273139172, "vol": 19.103059959915175, "sharpe": 0.6018693532739806, "mdd": -28.25569607618035 } ], "chart": { "dates": [ "2016-10-31", "2016-11-30", "2016-12-31", "2017-01-31", "2017-02-28", "2017-03-31", "2017-04-30", "2017-05-31", "2017-06-30", "2017-07-31", "2017-08-31", "2017-09-30", "2017-10-31", "2017-11-30", "2017-12-31", "2018-01-31", "2018-02-28", "2018-03-31", "2018-04-30", "2018-05-31", "2018-06-30", "2018-07-31", "2018-08-31", "2018-09-30", "2018-10-31", "2018-11-30", "2018-12-31", "2019-01-31", "2019-02-28", "2019-03-31", "2019-04-30", "2019-05-31", "2019-06-30", "2019-07-31", "2019-08-31", "2019-09-30", "2019-10-31", "2019-11-30", "2019-12-31", "2020-01-31", "2020-02-29", "2020-03-31", "2020-04-30", "2020-05-31", "2020-06-30", "2020-07-31", "2020-08-31", "2020-09-30", "2020-10-31", "2020-11-30", "2020-12-31", "2021-01-31", "2021-02-28", "2021-03-31", "2021-04-30", "2021-05-31", "2021-06-30", "2021-07-31", "2021-08-31", "2021-09-30", "2021-10-31", "2021-11-30", "2021-12-31", "2022-01-31", "2022-02-28", "2022-03-31", "2022-04-30", "2022-05-31", "2022-06-30", "2022-07-31", "2022-08-31", "2022-09-30", "2022-10-31", "2022-11-30", "2022-12-31", "2023-01-31", "2023-02-28", "2023-03-31", "2023-04-30", "2023-05-31", "2023-06-30", "2023-07-31", "2023-08-31", "2023-09-30", "2023-10-31", "2023-11-30", "2023-12-31", "2024-01-31", "2024-02-29", "2024-03-31", "2024-04-30", "2024-05-31", "2024-06-30", "2024-07-31", "2024-08-31", "2024-09-30", "2024-10-31", "2024-11-30", "2024-12-31", "2025-01-31", "2025-02-28", "2025-03-31", "2025-04-30", "2025-05-31", "2025-06-30", "2025-07-31", "2025-08-31", "2025-09-30", "2025-10-31", "2025-11-30", "2025-12-31", "2026-01-31", "2026-02-28", "2026-03-31", "2026-04-30", "2026-05-31", "2026-06-30", "2026-07-31", "2026-08-31", "2026-09-30", "2026-10-31", "2026-11-30" ], "series": { "QQQ": [ 100.0, 100.44, 101.57, 106.79, 111.47, 113.73, 116.83, 121.38, 118.57, 123.38, 125.94, 125.57, 131.35, 133.94, 134.75, 146.55, 144.66, 138.76, 139.46, 147.37, 149.06, 153.22, 162.08, 161.63, 147.73, 147.34, 134.58, 146.71, 151.1, 157.03, 165.66, 152.03, 163.57, 167.39, 164.21, 165.72, 172.98, 180.02, 187.01, 192.7, 181.02, 167.84, 192.97, 205.7, 218.64, 234.7, 260.39, 245.34, 237.87, 264.57, 277.54, 278.27, 277.9, 282.67, 299.37, 295.78, 314.3, 323.29, 336.93, 317.78, 342.77, 349.61, 353.64, 322.71, 308.27, 322.65, 278.79, 274.36, 249.92, 281.29, 266.86, 238.74, 248.29, 262.06, 238.44, 263.81, 262.86, 287.82, 289.28, 312.09, 331.76, 344.56, 339.45, 322.21, 315.56, 349.7, 369.23, 375.95, 395.81, 400.86, 383.33, 406.91, 433.24, 425.96, 430.67, 441.96, 438.14, 461.58, 463.68, 473.71, 460.9, 425.94, 431.89, 471.52, 501.64, 513.79, 518.7, 546.58, 572.71, 563.77, 559.99, 566.88, 553.59, 526.81, 609.47, 673.88, 672.87, 628.64, 654.93, 676.66, 631.58, 628.47 ], "SPY": [ 100.0, 103.68, 105.79, 107.68, 111.91, 112.05, 113.16, 114.76, 115.49, 117.86, 118.21, 120.59, 123.43, 127.2, 128.75, 136.0, 131.06, 127.47, 128.12, 131.24, 131.99, 136.88, 141.25, 142.09, 132.27, 134.73, 122.86, 132.7, 137.0, 139.48, 145.18, 135.92, 145.38, 147.58, 145.11, 147.93, 151.2, 156.68, 161.23, 161.16, 148.4, 129.87, 146.36, 153.34, 156.06, 165.25, 176.78, 170.16, 165.92, 183.97, 190.78, 188.84, 194.09, 202.9, 213.64, 215.04, 219.86, 225.23, 231.93, 221.12, 236.64, 234.74, 245.59, 232.64, 225.77, 234.26, 213.7, 214.18, 196.52, 214.62, 205.86, 186.83, 202.01, 213.24, 200.96, 213.59, 208.22, 215.94, 219.39, 220.41, 234.69, 242.37, 238.43, 227.12, 222.19, 242.49, 253.56, 257.6, 271.04, 279.9, 268.62, 282.2, 292.16, 295.7, 302.61, 308.96, 306.2, 324.47, 316.66, 325.16, 321.03, 303.15, 300.52, 319.4, 335.82, 343.55, 350.6, 363.09, 371.75, 372.47, 372.77, 378.26, 374.99, 356.48, 393.92, 414.65, 410.39, 410.53, 421.53, 420.14, 416.34, 416.18 ], "VT": [ 100.0, 101.19, 103.03, 106.12, 108.97, 110.58, 112.38, 114.56, 115.29, 118.34, 118.84, 121.34, 123.9, 126.25, 128.26, 135.29, 129.28, 127.63, 128.17, 128.89, 128.13, 131.81, 132.95, 133.05, 122.65, 124.77, 115.74, 124.99, 128.51, 129.87, 134.38, 126.36, 134.41, 134.41, 131.58, 134.57, 138.33, 141.88, 146.78, 144.49, 134.05, 114.26, 126.11, 132.67, 136.75, 143.99, 152.64, 148.16, 145.13, 163.08, 171.12, 170.73, 175.3, 180.3, 187.75, 190.71, 192.97, 194.16, 198.55, 190.4, 200.2, 194.96, 202.38, 193.11, 187.76, 191.3, 175.81, 176.68, 162.33, 173.67, 166.63, 150.75, 160.37, 173.65, 165.94, 178.63, 172.95, 177.88, 180.41, 178.23, 188.58, 195.6, 190.04, 181.95, 176.64, 192.56, 202.49, 202.49, 211.58, 218.33, 210.5, 220.19, 223.68, 228.11, 233.43, 238.56, 233.36, 243.02, 235.89, 243.09, 242.09, 233.57, 234.88, 248.52, 260.13, 262.99, 270.76, 279.89, 285.56, 286.17, 288.8, 297.79, 302.68, 283.86, 310.29, 324.49, 323.25, 321.01, 330.67, 325.94, 320.74, 320.94 ], "VGK": [ 100.0, 97.66, 102.47, 105.5, 106.12, 110.82, 115.14, 120.79, 120.17, 123.57, 123.66, 127.63, 128.22, 128.16, 130.12, 137.44, 129.0, 128.54, 131.31, 128.12, 126.54, 130.84, 127.14, 127.23, 117.18, 116.39, 110.75, 118.15, 121.89, 122.82, 127.63, 120.39, 128.04, 124.7, 122.65, 125.78, 130.61, 132.3, 138.27, 134.0, 123.34, 102.8, 109.42, 115.81, 120.37, 124.77, 130.15, 126.09, 119.26, 138.81, 146.7, 145.38, 149.13, 154.08, 161.44, 168.63, 166.31, 169.41, 172.47, 163.17, 171.38, 163.0, 171.47, 165.34, 156.6, 156.84, 147.05, 150.6, 135.69, 142.47, 131.84, 119.07, 129.11, 146.52, 144.07, 157.85, 155.14, 158.98, 165.56, 157.08, 163.79, 168.54, 161.71, 154.45, 149.68, 164.29, 173.16, 171.04, 175.14, 181.84, 177.2, 188.62, 183.05, 187.69, 194.46, 195.39, 184.62, 181.38, 176.4, 187.6, 195.11, 195.93, 203.46, 214.21, 219.45, 214.22, 222.29, 226.56, 227.98, 231.47, 239.62, 250.77, 258.42, 237.34, 250.91, 256.29, 258.41, 264.39, 267.52, 253.96, 256.13, 256.46 ], "AGG": [ 100.0, 97.43, 97.68, 97.89, 98.52, 98.47, 99.36, 100.04, 100.03, 100.36, 101.3, 100.73, 100.82, 100.67, 101.15, 100.01, 99.01, 99.67, 98.73, 99.39, 99.49, 99.46, 100.02, 99.4, 98.76, 99.53, 101.5, 102.42, 102.31, 104.48, 104.27, 106.26, 107.43, 107.62, 110.62, 109.94, 110.17, 110.13, 110.08, 112.31, 114.09, 113.49, 115.44, 116.22, 116.99, 118.54, 117.57, 117.45, 116.8, 118.21, 118.31, 117.43, 115.65, 114.32, 115.16, 115.39, 116.35, 117.65, 117.41, 116.33, 116.32, 116.64, 116.22, 113.9, 112.59, 109.43, 105.26, 106.06, 104.41, 107.06, 103.81, 99.5, 98.23, 101.97, 101.09, 104.45, 101.67, 104.35, 104.95, 103.75, 103.37, 103.35, 102.7, 100.04, 98.47, 102.99, 106.8, 106.64, 105.07, 106.02, 103.39, 105.12, 106.05, 108.61, 110.2, 111.67, 108.86, 110.06, 108.2, 108.76, 111.19, 111.16, 111.64, 110.97, 112.58, 112.28, 113.62, 114.9, 115.61, 116.31, 115.98, 116.27, 118.13, 116.01, 116.21, 116.55, 116.84, 115.33, 115.78, 112.76, 115.34, 114.82 ], "GLD": [ 100.0, 91.64, 89.89, 94.76, 97.78, 97.36, 99.04, 98.92, 96.79, 99.02, 103.18, 99.7, 98.96, 99.31, 101.4, 104.68, 102.51, 103.16, 102.17, 100.95, 97.3, 95.12, 93.09, 92.47, 94.43, 94.75, 99.43, 102.3, 101.68, 100.06, 99.39, 101.14, 109.23, 109.24, 117.89, 113.88, 116.8, 113.06, 117.19, 122.46, 121.68, 121.41, 130.23, 133.6, 137.26, 152.07, 151.57, 145.25, 144.5, 136.68, 146.27, 141.55, 132.7, 131.18, 135.85, 146.29, 135.83, 139.27, 139.16, 134.67, 136.67, 135.72, 140.2, 137.85, 146.29, 148.15, 145.08, 140.35, 138.15, 134.57, 130.61, 126.84, 124.58, 135.16, 139.12, 147.13, 139.23, 150.25, 151.55, 149.52, 146.19, 149.54, 147.63, 140.6, 150.97, 154.79, 156.77, 154.54, 155.25, 168.71, 173.75, 176.56, 176.32, 185.79, 189.68, 199.33, 207.9, 201.4, 198.56, 212.04, 215.9, 236.3, 249.11, 248.97, 249.98, 248.45, 260.84, 291.51, 301.89, 318.09, 325.0, 364.89, 396.71, 352.87, 347.43, 342.07, 302.1, 304.69, 334.94, 312.32, 291.77, 295.13 ] } }, "currency": "USD", "note": "Всички серии са с общо възвръщане, превърнати във валутата на листинга. Периодът е общият ≤ 10 г." }, "ucits": { "alternatives": [ { "symbol": "SXRV.DE", "name": "iShares NASDAQ 100 UCITS ETF USD (Acc)", "currency": "EUR", "price": 1446.5999755859375, "ter": 0.3, "aum": null, "cagr5": 12.217932591753279, "since": "2010-05-07" }, { "symbol": "EQQQ.DE", "name": "Invesco EQQQ NASDAQ-100 UCITS ETF", "currency": "EUR", "price": 615.4000244140625, "ter": 0.3, "aum": null, "cagr5": 11.801832905163634, "since": "2008-01-02" }, { "symbol": "CNDX.L", "name": "iShares NASDAQ 100 UCITS ETF USD (Acc)", "currency": "USD", "price": 1618.0, "ter": 0.3, "aum": null, "cagr5": 12.907723680238515, "since": "2010-09-15" } ], "mapped": true, "notes": [ "Американските ETF-и (SPY, VOO, QQQ…) обикновено не могат да се купуват от дребни инвеститори в ЕС заради регулацията PRIIPs/KID – за ЕС се ползват UCITS аналози (ISIN започва с IE/LU).", "Ирландските UCITS ETF-и обикновено удържат по-малко данък върху US дивиденти от директно US фондове; натрупващите (Acc) версии не изплащат дивидент. Проверете условията при вашия брокер и данъчно третиране в България – не е данъчен съвет." ] }, "verdict": { "scores": { "cost": 88.0, "diversification": 64.962315, "risk_adjusted": 86.25060940035897, "resilience": 69.76251898012121, "size_liquidity": 100.0, "track_record": 100.0 }, "weights": { "cost": 25, "diversification": 20, "risk_adjusted": 20, "resilience": 15, "size_liquidity": 10, "track_record": 10 }, "total": 82.70696272708997, "label": "ПОДХОДЯЩ КАТО ДЪЛГОСРОЧНО ЯДРО", "tone": "g", "strengths": [ "Годишна такса (TER) 0.18% – ниска", "Sharpe 0.66, максимален спад -35%", "Активи под управление ≈ 498.9 млрд (ликвидност/риск от закриване)" ], "weaknesses": [ "Топ 10 позиции = 47% от фонда – концентрация" ], "timing_state": "Неутрална зона", "timing": [ "Няма екстремно отклонение от тренда – DCA е напълно подходящ." ], "entry_plan": [ { "drawdown": 0, "share": 50, "price": 687.0900268554688, "label": "Сега / месечно DCA" }, { "drawdown": 10, "share": 25, "price": 683.6939758300781, "label": "При спад −10% от върха" }, { "drawdown": 20, "share": 25, "price": 607.7279785156251, "label": "При спад −20% от върха" } ], "steps": [ "Основна стратегия: месечно DCA в ETF-а (ядро на портфейла); не продавайте при спадове – историческият максимален спад е -83%.", "Допълнителни вноски по нива: 50% от наличния капитал сега/по месеци, 25% при −10% от върха (683.69), 25% при −20% (607.73).", "Ребалансирайте веднъж годишно; не го ползвайте като единствена позиция, ако не можете да издържите спад от 83%.", "В 10-годишни исторически прозорци DCA е било по-добро от еднократна вноска в 15% от случаите (lump sum обикновено печели при растящ пазар, DCA намалява риска от лош момент)." ], "answer": "Да – като дългосрочно ядро (хоризонт 10+ години), ако можете да издържите спадове от 83%.", "track_years": 27.603174603174605 } }, "composite": 82.70696272708997, "as_of": "2026-11-03T17:31:11.155764Z" }